Thanks Thomas. And thanks Roger. I always enjoy your articles. It brought to mind so much.
Power bills in San Diego are often more than rent. California is 35% renewables
Washington and Oregon and New York are too far north for solar. It the winter it’ll be all wind. You have to build enough Wind for that.
Washington and Oregon are 50% Hydro. New York isn’t. Double Mitch’s costs.
Mitch doesn’t account for battery storage. Basic “get through the day” battery storage will triple the cost. Long term storage or NY’s DEFR haven’t been invented yet. They’ll need to hurry with that….maybe flywheels?
“But don’t begin until you count the cost. For who would begin construction of a building without first calculating the cost to see if there is enough money to finish it? Otherwise, you might complete only the foundation before running out of money, and then everyone would laugh at you. They would say, ‘There’s the person who started that building and couldn’t afford to finish it!’ Luke 14:28-30
Another cost of the make believe ‘transition’ is the bad decisions by leftists as their intermittent characteristics of morality and brain function continue to throw good many after bad. How many solyndra’s have we had under the biden misadministration (or better stated misadventure).
What about going straight for the jugular vein or the Achilles heel of the windpower movement? Due to the ABC or the 3 critical factors of intermittent energy it is flat out impossible to transition to wind and solar power.
Net zero policies are enabling subsidised and mandated solar and wind inputs to drive out hydrocarbons. Consequently most of the grids in the west are moving towards a tipping point where the lights will flicker at nights when the wind is low.
The root of the problem is the failure of the meteorologists to give warning of wind droughts and the failure of energy planners to check the wind supply.
Consider the ABC of intermittent energy generated by wind and sun.
A. Input to the grid must continuously match the demand.
B. The continuity of RE is broken on nights with little or no wind.
C. There is no feasible or affordable large-scale storage to bridge the gaps.
So the green transition is impossible with current storage technology.
The rate of progress towards the tipping point will be accelerated by the surge of demand due to AI.
The transition to unreliable wind and solar power has hit the wall in Australia due to wind droughts and lack of grid-scale storage. If we lose one more coal station we will be in a very nasty place which is why the states Victoria and NSW are prepared to subsidise private operators keep the coal fires burning.
See what happens when subsidised and mandated wind and solar drive out coal to a tipping point where the lights will flicker every night when the wind is low!
Britain, Germany and South Australia have passed the tipping point and entered a red zone, keeping the lights on precariously with imports and deindustrialization to reduce demand.
This is the wind drought story starring Australians who blew the whistle but have been ignored.
Thanks Thomas. And thanks Roger. I always enjoy your articles. It brought to mind so much.
Power bills in San Diego are often more than rent. California is 35% renewables
Washington and Oregon and New York are too far north for solar. It the winter it’ll be all wind. You have to build enough Wind for that.
Washington and Oregon are 50% Hydro. New York isn’t. Double Mitch’s costs.
Mitch doesn’t account for battery storage. Basic “get through the day” battery storage will triple the cost. Long term storage or NY’s DEFR haven’t been invented yet. They’ll need to hurry with that….maybe flywheels?
Forgot to mention grid upgrades and new transmission. California will need $100 billion spent on the grid to get to 50%
“But don’t begin until you count the cost. For who would begin construction of a building without first calculating the cost to see if there is enough money to finish it? Otherwise, you might complete only the foundation before running out of money, and then everyone would laugh at you. They would say, ‘There’s the person who started that building and couldn’t afford to finish it!’ Luke 14:28-30
Another cost of the make believe ‘transition’ is the bad decisions by leftists as their intermittent characteristics of morality and brain function continue to throw good many after bad. How many solyndra’s have we had under the biden misadministration (or better stated misadventure).
Sometimes things have to get worse before they can get better. Much worse.
What about going straight for the jugular vein or the Achilles heel of the windpower movement? Due to the ABC or the 3 critical factors of intermittent energy it is flat out impossible to transition to wind and solar power.
Net zero policies are enabling subsidised and mandated solar and wind inputs to drive out hydrocarbons. Consequently most of the grids in the west are moving towards a tipping point where the lights will flicker at nights when the wind is low.
The root of the problem is the failure of the meteorologists to give warning of wind droughts and the failure of energy planners to check the wind supply.
Consider the ABC of intermittent energy generated by wind and sun.
A. Input to the grid must continuously match the demand.
B. The continuity of RE is broken on nights with little or no wind.
C. There is no feasible or affordable large-scale storage to bridge the gaps.
So the green transition is impossible with current storage technology.
The rate of progress towards the tipping point will be accelerated by the surge of demand due to AI.
The transition to unreliable wind and solar power has hit the wall in Australia due to wind droughts and lack of grid-scale storage. If we lose one more coal station we will be in a very nasty place which is why the states Victoria and NSW are prepared to subsidise private operators keep the coal fires burning.
See what happens when subsidised and mandated wind and solar drive out coal to a tipping point where the lights will flicker every night when the wind is low!
https://newcatallaxy.blog/2023/07/11/approaching-the-tipping-point/
Britain, Germany and South Australia have passed the tipping point and entered a red zone, keeping the lights on precariously with imports and deindustrialization to reduce demand.
This is the wind drought story starring Australians who blew the whistle but have been ignored.
https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2024/06/things-that-go-slump-in-the-night/
And the meteorologists and energy policy planners in Europe missed the Dunkelflautes that must have been known to mariners and millers for centuries!
https://www.flickerpower.com/images/The_endless_wind_drought_crippling_renewables___The_Spectator_Australia.pdf
Thank you, Rafe, for illuminating this issue and all you do!